fbpx
memberFOREX.com | Arbitrase EA | HFT EA | Robot XAUUSD | Robot Arbitrase | HFT Robot | Trading Arbitrase | Arbitrase Trading | WTI Oil EA | Gold EA
No Result
View All Result
Bot Trading
Wednesday, 1, February, 2023
  • Home
    • Data Analisy
  • Motivation

    The way how to Success for a person who has no connection, no money, no family support

    Trading Planning

    Psikologi Trading Part #2

    Psikologi Trading Part #1

    Psikologi Trading Forex

    Learning Psikologi Trading

    10 The World’s Best Traders

    Successful Traders

    Type Swing Intraday Scalping

  • Education
    • All
    • Indicator
    • Metaverse

    Understanding Liquidity and Market Liquidity

    Introduction Signal Scalping & Intraday With 3 Line Methode

    metaverse

    What Is the Metaverse, Exactly?

    Currency Table Strength Indicator for MT4 and MT5

    Cara Mudah Menilai Kualitas Sinyal Trading di Situs MQL5

    Goldman Sachs Says Whats is ‘best positioned’ for economic recovery

    Automatic Execution

    8 Critical Events That Could Impact Markets In The Upcoming Trading Week

    How To Use Indicator Trading Like A Swing or Intraday

  • Psychology

    Psikologi Trading Part #1

    Learning Psikologi Trading

    Management Emosional

  • Strategy
    • Manual Bot
      • Hierarki Zone Dealer Strategy
      • Swing Cross Signal
      • Multi Indicator
      • Break Signal Zone SnR
      • Price Action Signal
      • Swing Type
      • Data Web Analisy
    • Auto Bot
      • 4 IN 1
      • EA PAMM MAMM CopyTrader
      • Special Gold & Silver
      • Special WTI Oil
      • Robot Bitcoin
      • EA PO Trapping Unlimited
      • Samurai EA Unlimited
      • Tick GJ
      • EA Beta V9 Unlimited
      • EA Trigger Unlimited
      • Samurai ea
    • Special Gold & Silver
    • Special WTI Oil
    • Robot Bitcoin
    • EA PAMM MAMM CopyTrader
    • Bundle 4 IN 1
    • Intraday Day Scalping Robot
    • Special Bot For Broker Firm Hedge Fund
  • Portofolio
    • FxBlue
    • Myfxbook
    • Arbitrase
    • FxStat
    • Forex Currency
      • Trading Currency
      • Trading Currency-2
      • Trading Currency-4
      • Trading Currency-5
      • Trading Currency-6
      • Trading Currency-40
      • Trading Currency-41
      • Trading Currency-42
      • Trading Currency-44
    • Trading Gold & Silver
      • Trading Gold 45
      • Trading Gold & Silver 46
      • Trading Gold & Silver 47
      • Trading Gold & Silver 48
      • Trading Gold & Silver 50
    • WTI Oil
      • Special WTI 1
      • Special WTI 2
    • Gold & Oil
      • Gold WTI Oil 1
      • Gold WTI Oil 2
      • Gold WTI 3
      • Gold WTI 4
      • Gold WTI 5
    • Trading Bitcoin 49
    • Bot Challange Firm Broker
      • Bot Firm Broker Fund 1
      • Bot Firm Broker Fund 2
  • Consult
    • Telegram 1
    • Telegram 2
    • E-mail
Plugin Install : Cart Icon need WooCommerce plugin to be installed.
memberFOREX.com | Arbitrase EA | HFT EA | Robot XAUUSD | Robot Arbitrase | HFT Robot | Trading Arbitrase | Arbitrase Trading | WTI Oil EA | Gold EA
  • Home
    • Data Analisy
  • Motivation

    The way how to Success for a person who has no connection, no money, no family support

    Trading Planning

    Psikologi Trading Part #2

    Psikologi Trading Part #1

    Psikologi Trading Forex

    Learning Psikologi Trading

    10 The World’s Best Traders

    Successful Traders

    Type Swing Intraday Scalping

  • Education
    • All
    • Indicator
    • Metaverse

    Understanding Liquidity and Market Liquidity

    Introduction Signal Scalping & Intraday With 3 Line Methode

    metaverse

    What Is the Metaverse, Exactly?

    Currency Table Strength Indicator for MT4 and MT5

    Cara Mudah Menilai Kualitas Sinyal Trading di Situs MQL5

    Goldman Sachs Says Whats is ‘best positioned’ for economic recovery

    Automatic Execution

    8 Critical Events That Could Impact Markets In The Upcoming Trading Week

    How To Use Indicator Trading Like A Swing or Intraday

  • Psychology

    Psikologi Trading Part #1

    Learning Psikologi Trading

    Management Emosional

  • Strategy
    • Manual Bot
      • Hierarki Zone Dealer Strategy
      • Swing Cross Signal
      • Multi Indicator
      • Break Signal Zone SnR
      • Price Action Signal
      • Swing Type
      • Data Web Analisy
    • Auto Bot
      • 4 IN 1
      • EA PAMM MAMM CopyTrader
      • Special Gold & Silver
      • Special WTI Oil
      • Robot Bitcoin
      • EA PO Trapping Unlimited
      • Samurai EA Unlimited
      • Tick GJ
      • EA Beta V9 Unlimited
      • EA Trigger Unlimited
      • Samurai ea
    • Special Gold & Silver
    • Special WTI Oil
    • Robot Bitcoin
    • EA PAMM MAMM CopyTrader
    • Bundle 4 IN 1
    • Intraday Day Scalping Robot
    • Special Bot For Broker Firm Hedge Fund
  • Portofolio
    • FxBlue
    • Myfxbook
    • Arbitrase
    • FxStat
    • Forex Currency
      • Trading Currency
      • Trading Currency-2
      • Trading Currency-4
      • Trading Currency-5
      • Trading Currency-6
      • Trading Currency-40
      • Trading Currency-41
      • Trading Currency-42
      • Trading Currency-44
    • Trading Gold & Silver
      • Trading Gold 45
      • Trading Gold & Silver 46
      • Trading Gold & Silver 47
      • Trading Gold & Silver 48
      • Trading Gold & Silver 50
    • WTI Oil
      • Special WTI 1
      • Special WTI 2
    • Gold & Oil
      • Gold WTI Oil 1
      • Gold WTI Oil 2
      • Gold WTI 3
      • Gold WTI 4
      • Gold WTI 5
    • Trading Bitcoin 49
    • Bot Challange Firm Broker
      • Bot Firm Broker Fund 1
      • Bot Firm Broker Fund 2
  • Consult
    • Telegram 1
    • Telegram 2
    • E-mail
No Result
View All Result
memberFOREX.com | Arbitrase EA | HFT EA | Robot XAUUSD | Robot Arbitrase | HFT Robot | Trading Arbitrase | Arbitrase Trading | WTI Oil EA | Gold EA
No Result
View All Result
Home Education

Basic Of Probabilitas

by MemberForex
21 February, 2020
in Education
3 min read
3.5k
0

Forex bisa dikatakan bisnis yang selalu dinamis, perlu analisis setiap waktu, dan selalu ada perubahan harga di tiap menitnya. Hal ini benar-benar membuat trader tidak bisa memastikan bahwa harga akan sesuai dengan keinginan. Karena itu dibutuhkan ilmu kemungkinan yang disebut ilmu probabilitas. Bisakah kita menggunakan ilmu tersebut? Dan apa sebenarnya ilmu probabilitas?
Mari mengkaji hal ini lebih dalam.

Forex bisa dikatakan bisnis yang selalu dinamis, perlu analisis setiap waktu, dan selalu ada perubahan harga di tiap menitnya. Hal ini benar-benar membuat trader tidak bisa memastikan bahwa harga akan sesuai dengan keinginan. Karena itu dibutuhkan ilmu kemungkinan yang disebut ilmu probabilitas. Bisakah kita menggunakan ilmu tersebut? Dan apa sebenarnya ilmu probabilitas?

Mari mengkaji hal ini lebih dalam.

Semua bentuk generalisasi, teori, serta hubungan kausal yang telah kita pelajari selama ini tidak akan memberikan pengetahuan analisis yang pasti. Meskipun didukung oleh fakta-fakta yang cukup dan terpercaya serta konklusinya dapat dipakai sebagai dasar deduktif. Itulah sebabnya David Hume berkata, “Apabila kita mempergunakan argumen yang disusun atas dasar pengalaman di masa lampau sebagai dasar pertimbangan untuk membut ramalan di masa mendatang maka argumen ini haya merupakan kemungkinan (probabilitas).”

Konsep Dasar Probabilitas adalah pernyataan numerik tentang kemungkinan dari suatu kejadian yang dapat terjadi. Dalam hal ini probabilitas dapat dijadikan sebagai suatu ukuran terhadap kepastian dan ketidakpastian.

Nilai probabilitas lebih besar atau sama dengan nol dan lebih kecil atau sama dengan satu.
Artinya bahwa apabila nilai probabilitas dari suatu kejadian sama dengan 0, maka kejadian tersebut mustahil dapat terjadi. Sedangkann bila nilai probabilitasnya sama dengan satu maka kejadian tersebut pasti terjadi.

Dalam Kamus, probabilitas berarti “kemungkinan”. Peluang atau kebolehjadian atau dikenal juga sebagai probabilitas adalah cara untuk mengungkapkan pengetahuan atau kepercayaan bahwa suatu kejadian yang akan berlaku atau telah terjadi. Secara umum probabilitas dapat dipahami sebagai suatu nilai dari 0 sampai dengan 1 yang menunjukkan seberapa besar kemungkinan terjadinya suatu peristiwa.

Probabilitas dapat dijadikan ukuran ketidakpastian sedangkan ketidakpastian adalah bagian dari proses pengambilan kebijakan. Dengan demikian teori probabilitas dapat memberikan landasan yang kuat tentang bagaimana menelaah ketidakpastian secara logis dan rasional terhadap masalah-masalah yang dihadapi oleh para pengambil kebijakan trader.

Konsep ini telah dirumuskan dengan lebih ketat dalam matematika, dan kemudian digunakan secara lebih luas pada dunia keuangan, sains, dan filsafat. Ada 2 macam probabilitas yang selalu kita gunakan:

Probabilitas a priori
Dinamakan begitu karena probabilitas ini disusun berdasarkan perhitungan akal, bukan atas dasar pengalaman. contoh: untuk menentukan berapa kemungkinan mata dadu yang bakal keluar, maka mempunyai kemungkinan 1/6, karena sebuah mata dadu mempunyai enam muka.

Probabilitas relative frekuensi
Merupakan probabilitas yang disusun berdasarkan statistik atas fakta-fakta empiris, seperti probabilitas tentang gagalnya tembakan pistol adalah 5. Maksudnya bahwa setiap 100 kali pistol ditembakkan maka paling tidak 5 kali diantaranya macet. Ini disusun atas dasar pengamatan atas peristiwa.

Dari ilmu probabilitas tersebut, dapat dikatakan sebagian besar trader akan memakai Probabilitas Realtive Frekuensi untuk menggunakan analisis di perdagangan forex trading. Dengan begitu jelaslah bahwa probabilitas merupakan suatu angka yang menunjukkan kemungkinan terjadinya suatu peristiwa. Kejadian yang mempunyai nilai probabilitas 1 adalah kejadian yang pasti terjadi atau yang telah terjadi. Misalnya matahari yang masih terbit di timur sampai sekarang. Sedangkan suatu kejadian yang mempunyai nilai probabilitas 0 adalah kejadian yang mustahil atau tidak mungkin terjadi. Misalnya seekor kambing melahirkan seekor sapi.

Semoga bermanfaat !

KELAS FOREX TERBAIK, BEST PRIVATE FOREX CLASS

PRIVATE CLASS (FREE SOFTWARE NINJAFOREX)

JOIN COPYTRADE : Best STP & Trusted Asia Pasific Broker

INFO, MESSAGE : @NinjaForex

MemberForex

Metatrader Coder 2015 | Request Bot Gold, Silver, Stock CFD By Mail : [email protected] | Telegram : @RobotForex

See author's posts

Tags: belajar forexbelajar forex secara dasarhow to learn forexhow to learn forex psikologihow to learn swing trading
Share1845SendSendShare

Related Posts

Education

Understanding Liquidity and Market Liquidity

14 July, 2022
4.7k
Education

Introduction Signal Scalping & Intraday With 3 Line Methode

15 May, 2022
5.3k
metaverse
Education

What Is the Metaverse, Exactly?

7 May, 2022
4.7k
Education

Currency Table Strength Indicator for MT4 and MT5

18 January, 2022
4.8k
FREE

Cara Mudah Menilai Kualitas Sinyal Trading di Situs MQL5

26 December, 2021
5k
Economy

Goldman Sachs Says Whats is ‘best positioned’ for economic recovery

8 February, 2021
4.8k

Translate:

No Result
View All Result
  • Trending
  • Comments
  • Latest

indicator monitor profit floating

21 February, 2020

Introduction Signal Scalping & Intraday With 3 Line Methode

15 May, 2022

How To Use Indicator Trading Like A Swing or Intraday

12 March, 2020

Yukiko Ikebe

21 March, 2018

Cara Mudah Menilai Kualitas Sinyal Trading di Situs MQL5

26 December, 2021

FxBlue

14 December, 2019

Type Swing Intraday Scalping

24 February, 2020

Swing Trading

RISK And TRUST

UP TREND And DOWN TREND

Trade Manage Trailing Stop

Trading Obyektif And Logis

Basic Of Probabilitas

The Art Of Trading

Understanding Liquidity and Market Liquidity

14 July, 2022

The way how to Success for a person who has no connection, no money, no family support

17 May, 2022

Introduction Signal Scalping & Intraday With 3 Line Methode

15 May, 2022

Inflation barreled ahead at 8.3% in April from a year ago, remaining near 40-year highs

12 May, 2022
metaverse

What Is the Metaverse, Exactly?

7 May, 2022

We see a big recession in the making : Top CEOs are fearing the worst in Europe

6 May, 2022

Could there be war between Russia and the West? Strategists predict what could happen next

30 April, 2022

Popular News

  • indicator monitor profit floating

    6533 shares
    Share 2613 Tweet 1633
  • Introduction Signal Scalping & Intraday With 3 Line Methode

    5205 shares
    Share 2082 Tweet 1301
  • How To Use Indicator Trading Like A Swing or Intraday

    3628 shares
    Share 1729 Tweet 1081
  • Yukiko Ikebe

    5031 shares
    Share 2012 Tweet 1258
  • Cara Mudah Menilai Kualitas Sinyal Trading di Situs MQL5

    4980 shares
    Share 1992 Tweet 1245

Statistic Fxblue

Instagram Update

    • Home
    • Motivation
    • Education
    • Bot Manual
    • Special Silver Gold

    © 2015 - 2022 Financial Advisor | Private Equity
    Risk Warning: Before you start trading, you should completely understand the risks involved with the currency market and trading on margin, and you should be aware of your level of experience. Trading CFDs and FX is risky. It isn't suitable for everyone and if you are a professional client, you could lose substantially more than your initial investment. You don't own or have rights in the underlying assets. Past performance is no indication of future performance. The information on this website is general in nature and doesn't take into account your personal objectives, financial circumstances, or needs. You should consider whether you’re part of our target market and to ensure you fully understand the risks before you make any trading decisions. We encourage you to seek independent advice if necessary. The information on this site and the products and services offered are not intended for distribution to any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

    No Result
    View All Result
    • Home
      • Data Analisy
    • Motivation
    • Education
    • Psychology
    • Strategy
      • Manual Bot
        • Hierarki Zone Dealer Strategy
        • Swing Cross Signal
        • Multi Indicator
        • Break Signal Zone SnR
        • Price Action Signal
        • Swing Type
        • Data Web Analisy
      • Auto Bot
        • 4 IN 1
        • EA PAMM MAMM CopyTrader
        • Special Gold & Silver
        • Special WTI Oil
        • Robot Bitcoin
        • EA PO Trapping Unlimited
        • Samurai EA Unlimited
        • Tick GJ
        • EA Beta V9 Unlimited
        • EA Trigger Unlimited
        • Samurai ea
      • Special Gold & Silver
      • Special WTI Oil
      • Robot Bitcoin
      • EA PAMM MAMM CopyTrader
      • Bundle 4 IN 1
      • Intraday Day Scalping Robot
      • Special Bot For Broker Firm Hedge Fund
    • Portofolio
      • FxBlue
      • Myfxbook
      • Arbitrase
      • FxStat
      • Forex Currency
        • Trading Currency
        • Trading Currency-2
        • Trading Currency-4
        • Trading Currency-5
        • Trading Currency-6
        • Trading Currency-40
        • Trading Currency-41
        • Trading Currency-42
        • Trading Currency-44
      • Trading Gold & Silver
        • Trading Gold 45
        • Trading Gold & Silver 46
        • Trading Gold & Silver 47
        • Trading Gold & Silver 48
        • Trading Gold & Silver 50
      • WTI Oil
        • Special WTI 1
        • Special WTI 2
      • Gold & Oil
        • Gold WTI Oil 1
        • Gold WTI Oil 2
        • Gold WTI 3
        • Gold WTI 4
        • Gold WTI 5
      • Trading Bitcoin 49
      • Bot Challange Firm Broker
        • Bot Firm Broker Fund 1
        • Bot Firm Broker Fund 2
    • Consult
      • Telegram 1
      • Telegram 2
      • E-mail

    © 2015 - 2022 Financial Advisor | Private Equity
    Risk Warning: Before you start trading, you should completely understand the risks involved with the currency market and trading on margin, and you should be aware of your level of experience. Trading CFDs and FX is risky. It isn't suitable for everyone and if you are a professional client, you could lose substantially more than your initial investment. You don't own or have rights in the underlying assets. Past performance is no indication of future performance. The information on this website is general in nature and doesn't take into account your personal objectives, financial circumstances, or needs. You should consider whether you’re part of our target market and to ensure you fully understand the risks before you make any trading decisions. We encourage you to seek independent advice if necessary. The information on this site and the products and services offered are not intended for distribution to any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

    Login to your account below

    Forgotten Password?

    Fill the forms bellow to register

    All fields are required. Log In

    Retrieve your password

    Please enter your username or email address to reset your password.

    Log In
    error: Content is protected !! By @MemberForex
    X

    Newsletter Signup

    Sign up now and never miss a thing!

    X

    You're Signed Up!

    Now that you are signed up, we will send you exclusive offers periodically.